Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.014327 0.016093 0.017879 0.019815 0.021847 0.023914 0.026168
2025-04-27 0.010647 0.013339 0.016197 0.019422 0.022933 0.026615 0.030742
2025-05-04 0.008073 0.011237 0.014745 0.018843 0.023432 0.028353 0.033977
2025-05-11 0.006651 0.010168 0.014218 0.019078 0.024634 0.030690 0.037703
2025-05-18 0.005346 0.009046 0.013475 0.018931 0.025290 0.032321 0.040556
2025-05-25 0.004090 0.007812 0.012468 0.018365 0.025371 0.033227 0.042528
2025-06-01 0.003136 0.006834 0.011673 0.017967 0.025576 0.034214 0.044535
2025-06-08 0.002344 0.005954 0.010917 0.017545 0.025698 0.035058 0.046337
2025-06-15 0.001835 0.005407 0.010541 0.017553 0.026295 0.036424 0.048708
2025-06-22 0.001282 0.004673 0.009845 0.017105 0.026303 0.037070 0.050225
2025-06-29 0.000744 0.003802 0.008869 0.016234 0.025746 0.037014 0.050897
2025-07-06 0.000358 0.003033 0.007954 0.015380 0.025163 0.036892 0.051460
2025-07-13 0.000217 0.002805 0.007916 0.015806 0.026320 0.039010 0.054841
2025-07-20 0.000046 0.002243 0.007291 0.015415 0.026460 0.039942 0.056889
2025-07-27 NaN 0.001707 0.006611 0.014894 0.026396 0.040605 0.058601
2025-08-03 NaN 0.001480 0.006450 0.015102 0.027271 0.042407 0.061661
2025-08-10 NaN 0.001181 0.006083 0.014971 0.027675 0.043611 0.063991
2025-08-17 NaN 0.000828 0.005503 0.014467 0.027549 0.044133 0.065482
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000572 0.005046 0.014113 0.027599 0.044858 0.067203
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000362 0.004601 0.013739 0.027598 0.045501 0.068808
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000253 0.004397 0.013745 0.028114 0.046792 0.071198
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000122 0.003978 0.013348 0.028041 0.047316 0.072636
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000020 0.003385 0.012578 0.027402 0.047088 0.073131